Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.038286 0.041393 0.044658 0.048349 0.052412 0.056755 0.061756
2025-03-16 0.032582 0.036850 0.041583 0.047242 0.053849 0.061352 0.070562
2025-03-23 0.029031 0.033956 0.039643 0.046738 0.055412 0.065745 0.079098
2025-03-30 0.026412 0.031731 0.038076 0.046272 0.056676 0.069577 0.086992
2025-04-06 0.024112 0.029612 0.036353 0.045316 0.057064 0.072136 0.093267
2025-04-13 0.022845 0.028631 0.035900 0.045831 0.059243 0.077022 0.102871
2025-04-20 0.021559 0.027502 0.035133 0.045809 0.060620 0.080838 0.111227
2025-04-27 0.020677 0.026819 0.034870 0.046393 0.062796 0.085832 0.121600
2025-05-04 0.019599 0.025792 0.034058 0.046128 0.063708 0.089032 0.129528
2025-05-11 0.018668 0.024902 0.033362 0.045951 0.064688 0.092341 0.137831
2025-05-18 0.017793 0.024032 0.032631 0.045655 0.065434 0.095303 0.145778
2025-05-25 0.017067 0.023327 0.032086 0.045578 0.066474 0.098744 0.154746
2025-06-01 0.016202 0.022387 0.031161 0.044887 0.066538 0.100678 0.161426
2025-06-08 0.015342 0.021413 0.030133 0.043975 0.066182 0.101893 0.166959
2025-06-15 0.014678 0.020693 0.029443 0.043537 0.066540 0.104277 0.174728
2025-06-22 0.014069 0.020025 0.028793 0.043114 0.066879 0.106628 0.182612
2025-06-29 0.013390 0.019219 0.027893 0.042237 0.066394 0.107504 0.187794
2025-07-06 0.013086 0.018969 0.027835 0.042710 0.068207 0.112507 0.201287
2025-07-13 0.012686 0.018552 0.027491 0.042690 0.069158 0.116019 0.212183
2025-07-20 0.012435 0.018356 0.027485 0.043227 0.071107 0.121479 0.227526
2025-07-27 0.012030 0.017897 0.027037 0.042984 0.071640 0.124324 0.237725
2025-08-03 0.011665 0.017488 0.026649 0.042821 0.072301 0.127444 0.248803
2025-08-10 0.011298 0.017061 0.026213 0.042549 0.072736 0.130145 0.259223